Prisco’s NFL Division Round Playoff Picks: Cowboys Shock 49ers; Eagles, Chiefs and Bills get scared

What a way to open the NFL playoffs for me last week. It was Super Wild Card Weekend and I was super with my choices. I went 4-0 on my best bets as part of the Pick Six Podcast, went 4-2 on my ATS picks in our CBS Sports expert picks, and I was 6-0 right away.

They don’t call me Playoff Petey for nothing.

So let’s go ahead and kick off another good week with the picks. I can already hear the dogs barking.

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (NBC) | Steam: FuboTV

Recommended game | Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chiefs beat the Jaguars 27-17 in November, but that was another Jacksonville team and the game really wasn’t as close as the score. That Jacksonville team struggled on offense, when this is not the case. The Chiefs will be a real problem for Jacksonville’s defense, which has struggled on occasion with the pass. The Jags don’t chase the passer very well, which is a big advantage for Patrick Mahomes. Jacksonville had no sack in the first meeting. That’s always a problem against Mahomes. I do see the Jaguars scoring against a Chiefs defense that can be beaten as Trevor Lawrence plays well. But I don’t see the Jaguars slowing down the Chiefs’ attack. Look for Mahomes to put down big numbers that the Jaguars can’t match. The Chiefs advance to the AFC title game.

Choose: Chiefs 34, Jaguars 28

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Fox) | Steam: FuboTV

Recommended game | Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

The Giants impressed last week with their offense by beating the Vikings, but this is a much tougher challenge for Daniel Jones and co. The Eagles led the NFL in sacks and have five guys who had 10 or more. That’s busy. The Giants punctured their line at times, which should be a concern. But offensive coordinator Mike Kafka does a good job planning things for Jones. The Eagles didn’t look great offensively in the regular season finale against the Giants, who rested the players for the day. Jalen Hurts was back for that game after missing two, but he didn’t look great. The extra time will help in terms of his health. Look for the Eagles to attack through the air here, but the Giants have sprung to life on the defense front. Without Lane Johnson, that could be a problem for the Eagles. Still, look for Philadelphia to take it out and move on to the NFC Championship Game.

Choose: Eagles 30, Giants 28

Sunday, 3 p.m. ET (CBS) | Current: Paramount+ (click here)

Recommended game | Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

This is the game of the weekend if you like quarterback play. Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen. We thought we would see this game in Week 17, but the game was canceled after Damar Hamlin went into cardiac arrest. That was the right thing to do, but that’s why this game is in Buffalo. If the Bengals had won that game and they were leading early on, this game would have been in Cincinnati. As it is, it is in Buffalo. Neither team looked great against backup quarterbacks last week and both struggled to advance. I think both will play better here. The Bengals have problems with the offensive line, with possibly three starters, but the Bills didn’t rush the passer very well against Miami last week and Burrow gets the ball out quickly. This should be a shootout with both quarterbacks having big days. In the end, I think it’s Allen and the Bills who will win it in the fourth quarter.

Choose: Bills 34, Bengal 30

Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET (Fox) | Steam: FuboTV

Recommended game | San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

The 49ers beat the Cowboys to their berth in last year’s playoffs, so this is a chance for the Cowboys to even things out. Dallas beat Tampa Bay on Monday night, so this is another road game in a short week that will challenge them. The 49ers actually get an extra day of rest since they played last Saturday. But the Cowboys seemed to find their attack on the Bucs, especially Dak Prescott. The 49ers have better defense than Tampa Bay, but the Dallas offense will be able to move the ball. For the 49ers, it comes down to Brock Purdy against pressure from Dallas. Purdy has been outstanding since taking over as starter with five games left in the regular season. He played well last week beating the Seahawks, but this will be the best defense he’s faced. The hustle and bustle of the Dallas Pass can be distracting, which I believe is happening here. Prescott will win it between the two quarterbacks in this one as Dallas takes the upset away.

Choose: Cowboys 27, 49ers 26

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